The OECD has recently (2008 ) published an important monograph entitled Higher education to 2030 (Volume 1): demography (read only version) In summary, this assumes that:
- There will be continued expansion of student participation, with majority female participation, greater variation in student profiles and increased emphasis on issues of access and equality.
- The academic profession is to become more internationally oriented and increasingly mobile. There will also be greater variety in academic employment contracts and a movement away from the traditional concept of a self regulated community of professionals.
- Society will contain a greater proportion of graduates which will have implications for social well-being and economic growth, the gap between the number of graduates from OECD area and from emerging economies (especially China and India) will be significantly reduced and issues around the social exclusion of those without HE qualifications will rise.
It is a long – but interesting – read, and includes syntheses of much useful data. It is good to see a chapter by Serge Enersold on ‘Adapting higher education to the needs of disabled students’.